Smoking, vaping, HTP, NRT and snus in Botswana

Current smoking trends for the overall adult population in Botswa show a slight increase from 2000 (19.4%) to 2015 (19.8%), with a projection to increase further to around 21% by 2025. For women there has been a gradual, downwards year by year trend, from 7.6% in 2000 to 5.5% in 2015, and projected to be around 4.6% by 2025. For men the trend goes in the opposite direction, with 31.5% being current smokers in 2000, 34% in 2015 and a projection of around 37% by 2025. The WHO published prevalence trend estimates in tobacco smoking, as shown here, in their 2018 2nd edition report, which show slightly different smoking prevalence to the WHO country profiles. Data for the estimates are not age standardised, and were obtained from WHO databases. The trend lines are projections, not predictions, of future attainment. A projection indicates a likely endpoint if the country maintains its tobacco control efforts at the same level that it has implemented them to date. Therefore the impact of recent interventions could alter the expected endpoint shown in the projection. While the methods of estimation used in the first and second editions of the WHO report are the same, the volume of data available for the second edition is larger i.e. 200 more national surveys. The results presented are therefore more robust.